(DEV) 🤖 VTeX: Solutions for Science Publishing

The discrete time risk model with two seasons and dependent claims is considered. An algorithm is created for computing the values of the ultimate ruin probability. Theoretical results are illustrated with numerical examples.

Let $\{{\xi _{1}},{\xi _{2}},\dots \}$ be a sequence of independent but not necessarily identically distributed random variables. In this paper, the sufficient conditions are found under which the tail probability $\mathbb{P}(\,{\sup _{n\geqslant 0}}\,{\sum _{i=1}^{n}}{\xi _{i}}>x)$ can be bounded above by ${\varrho _{1}}\exp \{-{\varrho _{2}}x\}$ with some positive constants ${\varrho _{1}}$ and ${\varrho _{2}}$. A way to calculate these two constants is presented. The application of the derived bound is discussed and a Lundberg-type inequality is obtained for the ultimate ruin probability in the inhomogeneous renewal risk model satisfying the net profit condition on average.